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Unravelling the Earthquake Hype: Navigating Facts and Fiction in Pakistan’s Seismic Speculation


Nestled in the heart of Islamabad’s C block, Multi-Garden, sector B17, stands the majestic Winston Mall & Residencia – an architectural masterpiece In an era marked by the rapid dissemination of information through social media, rumours have the potential to evolve into a widespread panic. Recently, Pakistan found itself at the epicentre of such concerns as social media channels were flooded with claims of an imminent major earthquake within the next 48 hours. This blog seeks to delve deeper into the intricacies of this alleged prediction, offering a nuanced exploration of the seismic landscape and the scientific realities that underscore such phenomena.

The Alleged Prediction

At the heart of the speculation was a post circulating on social media, attributing a prediction to Dutch Scientist Frank Hoogerbeets, a member of the Solar System Geometry Survey (SSGEOS). Hoogerbeets supposedly foretold a seismic event in Pakistan based on a “massive surge of electric activity” along fault lines in Balochistan. This triggered a wave of apprehension, making “Earthquake” the most trending topic across various platforms in the country.

Expert Insights:

Amir Haider Laghari, the Director of the National Tsunami Centre Karachi, stepped in to offer a scientific perspective, promptly dismissing the notion of precise earthquake prediction. Laghari emphasized the inherent unpredictability of seismic activities, drawing attention to historical earthquakes as evidence of the complex and unpredictable nature of these natural occurrences.

The US Geological Survey (USGS) echoed this sentiment, emphasizing the impossibility of pinpointing the exact location and timing of a major earthquake with current scientific capabilities. While the USGS can provide estimates of likelihoods within a specific timeframe, uncertainties persist in the realm of earthquake forecasting.

Weather Updates Pakistan joined the collective voice, affirming that accurate earthquake predictions remain elusive due to the absence of a reliable forecasting model. The organization underscored that scientists can only base predictions on past patterns, and even then, uncertainties loom large.

Distinguishing Fact from Fiction

In response to skepticism from some social media users who cited past accurate predictions by the scientist in question, Weather Updates Pakistan clarified the rarity of such successes. Even when predictions align with actual events, they noted that these instances are rare and often come with noticeable differences in timing.


Importance of Building Structural Considerations in Earthquake Preparedness

Beyond individual preparedness, the role of structures, be it buildings, infrastructure, or equipment, cannot be overstated. Ensuring that constructions adhere to seismic safety standards is fundamental. Investment in earthquake-resistant infrastructure minimizes damage and prioritizes the safety of occupants.

In a broader context, real estate developers can champion seismic resilience by incorporating such considerations into their designs. This not only safeguards lives but also protects investments. Investors and buyers, in turn, should prioritize structures constructed with seismic resilience in mind.


Amidst the swirling currents of uncertainty, navigating the balance between online information and scientific reality becomes imperative when it comes to earthquake predictions. The recent social media uproar in Pakistan serves as a poignant reminder of the critical need for fact-checking and cultivating a culture of critical thinking in the digital age.

Navigating seismic uncertainties requires a comprehensive approach. Beyond dispelling myths and recognizing the limitations of predictions, proactive community and individual preparedness is paramount. The consideration of structural elements, irrespective of the setting, adds a layer of protection against seismic threats. By merging scientific knowledge, preparedness measures, and a commitment to structural resilience, communities can confidently face the seismic landscape with strength and adaptability.

Blog is published by: Marketing Team Winston Mall & Residencia – Ukasha Qureshi

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